Research of some theoretical and methodological aspects of the comparative characteristics of the evolutionary and structural approaches to the assessment of macroeconomic dynamics
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
This article is devoted to the study of some theoretical and methodological aspects of the comparative characteristics of evolutionary and structural approaches to assessing macroeconomic dynamics. The purpose of this article is to propose directions for improving the methodology of comparative characterization and evaluation of methods for studying structural changes and evolutionary dynamics as alternative approaches to analyzing macroeconomic dynamics going through the processes of quantitative and qualitative transformation over time. In accordance with this goal, the main objectives of the study are: analysis and synthesis of various theoretical and methodological origins of the formation and development of these two approaches, with special attention to the heuristic possibilities that they provide; investigation of the extent to which a specific area of the evolutionary approach can contribute to the application of structural heuristic elements, and vice versa, more precisely, consideration of structural heuristic elements as tools for analyzing sequential processes of change (a characteristic area of research of the evolutionary approach); the analysis of evolutionary heuristics as a tool for studying long-term, irreversible transformations of economic structures (a characteristic area of research of the structural dynamics approach). The scientific novelty of this study lies in the development of new and improvement of already used key methodological approaches to strategic management of macroeconomic dynamics, which can serve as a basis for further research. In this regard, the formal model proposed in the article provides an important step towards further research of more formalized models, by including in them the interaction between several systems arising in the context of one or more growth regimes. At the end of the article, the ways in which the integration of the two approaches can contribute to the creation of a comprehensive heuristic of historical processes of economic change are discussed.

Keywords:
economic theory, macroeconomic system, evolutionary dynamics, structural changes, causal relationship
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Pasinetti L.L. Structural Change and Economic Growth. A Theoretical Essay on the Dynamics of the Wealth of Nations. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 1981.

2. Nelson R., Winter, S., 1982. An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. TheBelknap Press of Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

3. Borisov V.N. i dr., Modernizaciya promyshlennosti i razvitie vysokotehnologichnyh proizvodstv v kontekste «zelenogo rosta» /pod redakciey akademika B.N. Porfir'eva. M.: Nauchnyy konsul'tant, 2017. 434 s.

4. Borisov V.N. i dr., Prognozirovanie innovacionnogo mashinostroeniya. M.: MAKS Press, 2015. 180 s.

5. Borisov V.N. i dr. Innovacionno-tehnologicheskoe razvitie ekonomiki Rossii: problemy, faktory, strategii, prognozy. M.: MAKS PRESS, 2005. 591 s.

6. Gul'bina N.I. K voprosu o klassifikacii osnovnyh techeniy institucional'noy teorii // Vestnik Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika. 2009. № 4. S. 77-86.

7. Hicks J.R. A Theory of Economic History. Clarendon Press, Oxford. 1969.

8. Smit A. Issledovanie o prirode i prichinah bogatstva narodov [Tekst] / [Vstup. Stat'ya i komment. kand. ekon. nauk V. S. Afanas'eva]. - Moskva: Socekgiz, 1962. - 684 s.; 26 sm.

9. Negishi T. Economic Theories in a Non-Walrasian Tradition. CambridgeUniversity Press, Cambridge. 1985.

10. Katukov D.D., Malygin V.E., Smorodinskaya N.V. Faktor sozidatel'nogo razrusheniya v sovremennyh modelyah i politike ekonomicheskogo rosta // Voprosy ekonomiki. №7. 2019. S. 95–118.

11. Kleyner G.B. Sistemnye cikly ekonomicheskoy dinamiki i ustoychivost' nacional'noy ekonomiki. M.: Izdanie Gosudarstvennoy Dumy, 2015. S.121–130.

12. List Fridrih, Nacional'naya sistema politicheskoy ekonomii / per. s angl., vvodnaya stat'ya i kommentarii E.M. Mayburda. M.: Nauka, 1993. 572 s.

13. Maevskiy V.I., Malkov S.Yu., Rubinshteyn, A.A. Novaya teoriya vosproizvodstva kapitala. M.- SPb.: Nestor-Istoriya. 2016. 260 s.

14. Nelson R.R. National Innovation Systems: A Comparative Analysis. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1993.

15. Shumpeter Y.A. Teoriya ekonomicheskogo razvitiya. M.: «Eksmo», 2007.

16. Schumpeter J.A. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, Routledge, London, 1942.

17. Dosi G., Nelson, R. Technical change and industrial dynamics asevolutionary processes. In: Halland, B.H., Rosenberg, N. (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Innovation, vol. I. Academic Press, Burlington, 2010, pp. 51–128.

18. Landesmann M.A. Understanding Economic Change: The Lessons of Structural Change, Paper Presented at the Conference «Economic Change and Evolution, Centro Linceo Interdisciplinare «Beniamino Segre», Accademia Nazionale Dei Lincei, 10-11 November 2014.

19. Pianta M. Understanding Change. Structures, Cycles and «virtuous sircles». Paper Presented at the Conference «Economic Change and Evolution», Centro Linceo Interdisciplinare «Beniamino Segre», Accademia Nazionale Dei Lincei, 10-11 November 2014.

20. Mironov V.V., Konovalova, L. D. O vzaimosvyazi strukturnyh izmeneniy i ekonomicheskogo rosta v mirovoy ekonomike i Rossii // Voprosy ekonomiki, 2019. №1. S.54–78

21. Melihov V.Yu., Osadchaya T.G. Osnovnye etapy razvitiya institucional'noy teorii // Vestnik Tambovskogo universiteta. Seriya: Gumanitarnye nauki. 2011. № 12. S. 427-432.

22. Napol'skih D.L. Strukturnoe modelirovanie institucional'noy sredy innovacionnogo klastera // MIR (Modernizaciya. Innovacii. Razvitie). 2012. № 12. S. 40-45.

23. Cowan R. Foray D. Evolutionary economics and the counterfactual threat: on the nature and role of counterfactual history as an empirical tool in economics. Journal of Evolutionary Economics 12(5): 539–562, 2002

24. Malerba F., Nelson R., Orsenigo L., Winter S., Innovation and the Evolution of Industries: History Friendly Models. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2016.

25. Fagerberg J., Verspagen B. Innovation, growth and economic development: Have the conditions for catch-up changed? International Journal of Technological Learning, Innovation and Development 1(1): 13–33, 2007

26. Fagerberg J. Technology and international differences in growth rates. Journal of Economic Literature 32(3): 1147–1175, 1994.

27. Solou R.M. Tehnicheskoe razvitie i agregirovannaya proizvodstvennaya funkciya. The Rev. Econ. Stat. 1957, 39 (№3). S. 312–320.

28. Suharev O.S. Evolyucionnaya ekonomicheskaya teoriya institutov i tehnologiy. Problemy modelirovaniya. M.: Lenand, 2017. 139 s.

29. Suharev O.S. Ekonomicheskiy rost, instituty i tehnologii. M.: Finansy i statistika, 2015. (Vtoroe izdanie, pererabotannoe)

30. Suharev O.S., Logvinov S.A. Upravlenie strukturnymi izmeneniyami ekonomiki. M.: KURS: INFRA-M, 2013. 352 s

31. Shastitko A. Predmetno-metodologicheskie osobennosti novoy institucional'noy ekonomicheskoy teorii // Voprosy ekonomiki. 2003. № 1. S. 24-41. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2003-1-24-41

32. Abramovitz M. Resource and output trends in the United States since 1870, in Resource and output trends in the United States since 1870 (1–23). Cambridge, MA: NBER, 1956.

33. Archibugi D. and Coco A. New indicator of technological capabilities for developed and developing countries (ArCo). World Development 32(4): 629–654, 2004.

34. Bloom N., Schankerman M., Reenen J. Van. Identifying technology spillovers and market rivalry. Econometrica 81(4): 1347–1393, 2013.

35. Capdevielle M., Natera J.M., Innovation, absorptive capacity and growth heterogeneity: Development paths in Latin America 1970–2010. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 37: 27–42, 2016.

36. Castellacci F. Natera J.M. Innovation, absorptive capacity and growth heterogeneity: Development paths in Latin America 1970–2010. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 37: 27–42, 2016.

37. Castellacci F. Natera J. M., The dynamics of national innovation systems: A panel cointegration analysis of the coevolution between innovative capability and absorptive capacity. Research Policy 42(3): 579–594, 2013.

38. Lowe, A. The Path of Economic Growth. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, 1976.

39. Curzio Q. A. Resources and Economic Dynamics, Technology andRents, Centro Di Ricerche in Analisi Economica E Sviluppo EconomicoInternazionale. Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, November, 2011.

40. Freeman C. 1991. Networks of innovators: A synthesis of research issues. Research Policy 20(5): 499–514.

41. Johansen S. Identifying restrictions of linear equations with applications to simultaneous equations and cointegration. Journal of Econometrics. 69(1): pp. 111–132, 1995.

42. Johnson S. The Genius of the Tinkerer. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Sep 28, 2010.

43. Lundvall B.-A., Joseph, K.J., Chaminade C., Vang, J. Handbook of Innovation Systems and Developing Countries: Building Domestic Capabilities in a Global Setting. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2009.

44. Mazzucato M. The Entrepreneurial State. London: Anthem Press, 2013.

45. Mowery D.C. and Nelson R.R. Sources of Industrial Leadership: Studies of Seven Industries. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008.

46. Newman M. E. J. Networks: An Introduction. 2010.

47. Ravasz E., Barabási A.L. Hierarchical organization in complex networks, Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys 2003 Feb;67(2 Pt 2):026112. doi:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.67.026112. Epub 2003 Feb 14. 2003.

48. Romer P.M. 1994. The origins of endogenous growth. J. Econ. Perspect. 8, 3–22.

49. Solow R.M. A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 70(1): 65–94, 1956.


Login or Create
* Forgot password?