OCENKA RISKOV FINANSOVOY USTOYCHIVOSTI PREDPRIYATIY NA OSNOVE MODELEY RASPREDELENIYA VEROYATNOSTEY DINAMIKI FINANSOVYH POKAZATELEY
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
V ramkah nastoyaschey stat'i protestirovany teoreticheskie ekonomiko-matematicheskie modeli na osnove real'nyh dannyh na predmet sootvetstviya empiricheskoy dinamike. V dannoy stat'e provoditsya analiz finansovogo sostoyaniya predpriyatiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossiyskoy Federacii na osnovanii retro-dannyh v period s 2004 po 2012 goda. Dlya harakteristiki finansovogo sostoyaniya organizacii ispol'zuyutsya dva koefficienta finansovogo analiza: koefficient tekuschey likvidnosti i koefficient obespechennosti sobstvennymi oborotnymi sredstvami. Na osnovanii dinamiki prirostov koefficientov byli postroeny modeli dlya prognozirovaniya i ocenki finansovoy ustoychivosti predpriyatiy OPK. Postroennye modeli pozvolyayut provodit' imitacionnye eksperimenty dlya ocenki finansovoy ustoychivosti otdel'nyh predpriyatiy.

Keywords:
efinansovaya ustoychivost', VaR, OPK
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